Here’s my prediction – December 21st 2012 will come and go like every other solstice. Things here in the US will be just as messed up as they have been, but that’s because of our political and economic choices in the face of peak oil and other macro economic forces and resource depletions, not so much because of a “spiritual transformation”, or lack of same, caused by a millenial event. Our civilization will continue it’s myopia.

Humans will continue to have the same limited choices for self-development. Enlightenment, in the form in which I model it, will continue to be very rare. As before, people will still participate in the “spiritual entertainment industry”, pretending to seek a fictional “enlightenment”, and as life here on the surface of our beautiful planet gets harder, before long the spiritual entertainment industry will pick a new date for a new judgment day, far enough away for the harmonic convergence and the mayan 2012 to be forgotten, and the cycle of entertainment will continue.

In any case, I read an article today that contained some interesting observations and comments, that might be worth your time.

2013: Or, What to Do When the Apocalypse Doesn’t Arrive

Here’s a few snippets I thought tasty – be warned, it’s not a feel-good article:

“Predictably, Kohoutek fizzled as well. That same year, the science writers John Gribbin and Stephen Plagemann published The Jupiter Effect, a bestseller predicting the devastating results (earthquakes, tidal waves, etc.) of a curious alignment of the planets on one side of the sun. When the alignment took place and nothing happened, they wrote a second book, The Jupiter Effect Reconsidered, explaining what went wrong. Not surprisingly, this sequel didn’t sell as well.

There were other millennial dates too. Remember the solar eclipse of 1999 and Y2K, the millennium bug? But the most significant millennial date so far in my lifetime surely was 1987, the year of the Harmonic Convergence—another planetary alignment—which was seen as the kickoff for the most anticipated apocalyptic event in recent years, the year 2012. For those unaware, proponents of 2012 argue that an ancient Mayan calendar—combined with permutations of the I Ching—predicts that tremendous changes will take place in that year and that, as one advocate expresses it, a “singularity,” an event of unprecedented ontological character, will take place and, as the saying goes, transform life as we know it. Recalling Norman Cohn’s criteria for millenarian belief, from everything I’ve heard about 2012, it fits the bill nicely.”

“In his Study of History, an account of the rise and fall of civilizations, the historian Arnold Toynbee argues that there are two stereotypical responses to what he calls a “time of troubles,” the crisis points that make or break a civilization. One is the “archaist,” a desire to return to some previous happy time or golden age. The other is the “futurist,” an urge to accelerate time and leap into a dazzling future. That both offerings are embraced today is, I think, clear. The belief that a saving grace may come from indigenous non-Western people untouched by modernity’s sins is part of a very popular “archaic revival.” Likewise, the trans- or posthumanism that sees salvation in some form of technological marriage between man and computer is equally fashionable. The 2012 scenario seems to partake of both camps: It proposes a return to the beliefs of an ancient civilization in order to make a leap into an unimaginable future. What both strategies share, however, is a desire to escape the present. Given our own “time of troubles,” this seems understandable enough.”